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Wild Trout VII, Yellowstone National Park, October 2000
J.R.
Webb, F.A. Deviney, Jr., B.J. Cosby, A.J .Bulger, J.N. Galloway
Department
of Environmental Sciences
University of Virginia
Charlottesville, Virginia 22903
Discussion
Although large, near-census
sampling surveys can provide comprehensive information for stream populations
at particular points in time, comparison of results between surveys can
be misleading because of short-term variations. Short-term variations
have less impact on interpretation of data obtained through more frequent
periodic sampling.
Differences in results
between the 1987 survey and the 2000 resurvey may be related to flow conditions.
As indicated by the Palmer Drought Severity Index, conditions were generally
much wetter in 1987. Consistent with observations of episodic acidification
during storm-flow conditions, this difference may explain much of the
sulfate decrease and ANC increase between the two points in time. It may
also explain the differences between the survey-resurvey and the quarterly
sampling results.
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Trend analyses
conducted with the quarterly sampling data are more realistic because
the effects of transient variations from flow extremes are reduced
by including 48 points in time. The trend analyses indicate that
few long-term sampling sites are recovering from acidification;
most are continuing to acidify. As indicated by changes in site
distribution within the defined ANC categories for brook trout responses,
the continuing acidification is biologically significant.
How well the
long-term sample sites represent the regional population of brook
trout streams has not been quantitatively evaluated. However, we
initially selected the sites to represent the percentage of the
regional population of brook trout streams that is associated with
relatively undisturbed and non-carbonate landscape. Therefore we
believe that our findings for the long-term sample sites can be
applied to approximately 70% of the state’s brook trout streams.
The meta-analysis
of trend behavior among the sites classified by watershed lithology
further supports the reliability of regional inferences. The regional
decline in ANC during the critical winter season may have adverse
impacts on brook trout reproduction.
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| 1. |
Changes in
stream water concentrations between the 1987 and 2000 surveys suggest
some recovery from acidification, but the results may be strongly
influenced by differences in stream flow levels. |
| 2. |
More reliable
results are provided by quarterly sampling of representative long-term
monitoring streams during the 1988-1999 period. Trend analyses for
these streams indicate acidification is continuing for most Virginia
brook trout streams. |
| 3. |
Estimates
of change in the distribution of long-term monitoring streams among
ANC categories for brook trout response indicates that acidification
during the 1988-1999 period may have caused biological harm. |
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