Kenneth G. Crowther

Research Fellow, Institute for Information Infrastructure Protection
Research Assistant Professor, Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems,
Department of Systems and Information Engineering, University of Virginia
112 Olsson Hall or PO Box 400736, Charlottesville, Virginia 22904; USA; voice (434) 243-2381, fax (434) 924-0865 <kgcrowther@virginia.edu>

Purpose

Contribute theory and methodology to provide insight to large-scale empirical problems related to data integration, regional/multiregional analysis, emergency resource management, and strategic regional preparedness. Provide results to sponsors that benefit from my ability to integrate a variety of data sources for risk-based decision problems and appropriately interpret the meaning and limitation of the results for the region of interest.

Employment

Education

Affiliations

1. Society for Risk Analysis (2002-present)
2. Institute for Supply Chain Management (2003-present)
3. Instrumentation, Systems, and Automation Society, (2005-present)
4. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (2006-present)
5. Institute for Operations Research and Management Science, (2006-present)
   

Service and Leadership

1. Chair, Engineering and Infrastructure Specialty Group, Society for Risk Analysis (2009)
2. Co-lead, Society for Risk Analysis Risk-Tweet Initiative (2009)
3. Workshop Co-Chair, Protecting Critical Infrastructure: The National Capital Region as a Model for Assessing Cyber Preparedness (2009)
4. Discussion Leader, SEAS Common Reading Experience, University of Virginia (2009)
5. Session Co-chair, Building Internal Risk-Assessment Capabilities, at the Workshop on Assessing Information Security Risk in Turbulent Time, Sponsored by Center for Digital Strategies, Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth (2009)
6. Annual Meeting Program Committee, Society for Risk Analysis (2009)
7. Publications Co-Chair, IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium (2009)
8. Panel Member, NSF Science and Technology Centers: Integrative Partnerships Preliminary Proposal Panel (2009)
9. Panel Chair, Options for achieving resilience: An exploration of strategies at the Harmonizing Resilience and Cyber Security Workshop (2008)
10. Workshop Co-Chair, What Businesses Need to Know About Harmonizing Resilience and Cyber Security, Co-sponsored by University of Virginia Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems, Institute for Information Infrastructure Protection, and Carnegie Mellon Software Engineering Institute (2008)
11. Publications Co-Chair, IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium (2008)
12. Session Co-Chair, International disasters and infrastructure interdependencies session at the International World Congress of the Society of Risk Analysis (2008).
13. Vice-Chair, Engineering and Infrastructure Specialty Group, Society for Risk Analysis (2008)
14. Undergraduate Committee, Department of Systems and Information Engineering, University of Virginia (2007-present)
15. Assistant to Engineering Area Editor, Risk Analysis (2007-2009)
16. Discussion Leader, SEAS Common Reading Experience, University of Virginia (2007)
17. Reviewer for Risk Analysis, Journal of Infrastructure Systems, Systems Engineering, International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, and others (2007-present)

Principal Investigator

1. Principles and a Framework for Coordinated State, Sector, and Local Critical Infrastructure Protection; Sponsor: Virginia Governor's Office of Commonwealth Preparedness. Dates: September 2009 - May 2010
2. Airport Runway Incursion Safety Analysis and Prioritization; Sponsor: Federal Aviation Administration. Dates: August 2009 - August 2012
3. Risk Analysis for Virginia Department of Transportation Information Technology Sensitive Systems; Sponsor: Virginia Department of Transportation. Dates: May 2009 - April 2010
4. Virginia Critical Infrastructure Protection and Resilience Strategy; Sponsor: Virginia Governor's Office of Commonwealth Preparedness. Dates: July 2008 - June 2009
5. Risk-based Identity Management for Flexible Regional Emergency Response Plans; Sponsor: Institute for Information Infrastructure Protection. Dates: June 2007 - June 2009

Co-Principal Investigator

1. Adaptive Systems-Based Prioritization of Bridge Infrastructure Maintenance; Sponsor: National Science Foundation. Dates: August 2009 - August 2012.
2. Development of Concepts for a National Critical Infrastructure Risk Profile; Sponsor: Department of Homeland Security. Dates: August 2009 - June 2010.
3. Development of Systems-Based Cyber Security Curriculum; Sponsor: Institute for Information Infrastructure Protection. Dates: November 2008 - January 2009.
4. Incentives for Better Cyber Security through More Accurate, Transparent Pricing of Risk; Sponsor: National Institute of Standards and Technology; Dates: April 2008 - April 2009.
5. Rationale for Business Investments in Cyber-Security; Sponsor: Department of Homeland Security, National Cyber Security Division; Dates: April 2007 - April 2009.
6. Collaborative Risk-based Preparedness for Hurricane and Pandemic Flu Scenarios in Southeastern Virginia; Sponsor: Virginia Governor's Office of Commonwealth Preparedness; Dates: January 2007 - September 2008.

Archival Publications

1. Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2009. Development and deployment of the multiregional inoperability input-output model for strategic preparedness. Forthcoming in Systems Engineering. DOI 10.1002/sys.20130
2. Crowther, K.G., 2008. Decentralized risk management for strategic preparedness of critical infrastructure through decomposition of the inoperability input-output model. International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection. 1(2008): 53-67.
3. Haimes, Y.Y., K.G. Crowther, and B.M. Horowitz, 2008. Homeland security preparedness: Balancing protection with resilience in emergent systems. Systems Engineering. 11(4): 287-308.
4. Ezell, B.C. and K.G. Crowther, 2007. Philosophical issues and their implications for the systems architect. Foundations of Science. 12(4): 269-276.
5. Crowther, K.G., Y.Y. Haimes, and G.E. Taub, 2006. Systemic valuation of strategic preparedness with lessons learned from Hurricane Katrina. Risk Analysis. 27(5): 1345-1364.
6. Haimes, Y.Y., B.M. Horowitz, J.H. Lambert, J.R. Santos, K.G. Crowther, and C. Lian, 2005. Inoperability input-output model (IIM) for interdependent infrastructure sectors II: Case Studies. ASCE Journal of Infrastructure Systems. 11(2): 80-92.
7. Haimes, Y.Y., B.M. Horowitz, J.H. Lambert, J.R. Santos, C.Lian, and K.G. Crowther, 2005. Inoperability input-output model (IIM) for interdependent infrastructure sectors: theory and methodology. ASCE Journal of Infrastructure Systems. 11(2): 67-79.
8. Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2005. Applications of the inoperability input-output model (IIM) for systemic risk assessment and management of interdependent infrastructures. Systems Engineering. 8(4): 323-341.

Pending Papers

1. Crowther, K.G., 2009. Risk-based assessment of regional preparedness: an example of emergency potable water for hurricane response in Southeast Virginia. Conditionally accepted in International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection.
2. Crowther, K.G., Y.Y. Haimes, and E. Johnson, 2009. Incentive for better security through more accurate, transparent pricing of risk: Basic principles and feasibility. Submitted to Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management.
3. Guo, Z. and K.G. Crowther, 2009. Risk analysis of information security through modeling of information flow in supply chains. Submitted to Journal of Management Information Systems.
4. Crowther, K.G., 2009. Geodatabase schema and computational methods supporting a strategic preparedness decision framework. Submitted to Journal of Geographic Information Science.
5. Caswell, R.B. and K.G. Crowther, 2009. A risk-based framework for the analysis of pandemic influenza in Southeastern Virginia and the workforce-epidemic mixing model. Submitted to Risk Analysis.
6. Crowther, K.G., J.A. Crawford, N.V. Revenko, 2008. Collaborative asynchronous modeling of group assumptions concerning cyber security decisions through cognitive maps. Submitted to Group and Organization Management.

Book Chapters

1. Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2008. Scenario analysis, cognitive maps and concept maps. Forthcoming in Wiley Handbook of Science and Technology of Homeland Security, Wiley.
2. Haimes, Y., J. Santos, K. Crowther, M. Henry, C. Lian, and Z. Yan, 2008. Risk analysis in interdependent infrastructures. In E. Goetz and S. Shenoi. Critical Infrastructure Protection. Springer.

Proceedings

1. K. Crowther and G. Louis (eds.) Proceedings of the 2009 IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium.
2. Dyke, C., J. Johnson, N. Revenko, R. Collins, M. Hamilton, M. Vedomske, K.G. Crowther, 2009. Feasibility analysis of critical infrastructure information sharing in Virginia. In G. Louis and K. Crowther (eds.) Proceedings of the 2009 IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium.
3. Mo, S., P. Beling, and K. Crowther, 2009. Quantitative assessment of cyber security risk using Bayesian network-based model. In G. Louis and K. Crowther (eds.) Proceedings of the 2009 IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium.
4. G. Louis and K. Crowther (eds.) Proceedings of the 2008 IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium.
5. Cahill, B., R. Collins, R. Jurko, T. Zivic, K. Crowther, and Y. Haimes, 2008. Collaborative risk-based preparedness for pandemic influenza in Southeastern Virginia. In G. Louis and K. Crowther (eds.) Proceedings of the 2008 IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium. (Won Best Paper Award for the Risk and Regional Planning Track.)
6. Crowther, K.G., 2008. Risk-based identity management for flexible emergency response plans. Proceedings of the 2008 Risk Symposium, February 2008, Santa Fe, New Mexico.
7. Crowther, K.G. and A.G. Lee, 2007. Risk analysis of an emergency water distribution plan for Hampton Roads. Proceedings of the Management and Engineering of Complex Situations Conference, October 2007, Norfolk, Virginia.
8. Crowther, K.G., Y.Y. Haimes, and F. Krimgold. Systems-based tradeoffs between preparedness and infrastructure resilience through risk management of interdependent systems. Proceedings of the Russian Academy of Science. September 2007, Yekaterinburg, Russia. by invitation.
9. Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2007. Valuating Strategic Preparedness to Manage Risks of Natural and Man-Made Disasters to Interconnected Economic Systems. Proceedings of the 2007 Risk Symposium. Febrary 2007, Santa Fe, New Mexico.
10. Crawford, J.A., K.G. Crowther, B.M. Horowitz, and J.H. Lambert 2006. Economic interpretation and a simulation exercise for exploring corporate investments in cyber security. in Proceedings of the Workshop on Securing the Economics of the Information Infrastructure. October 23-24, 2006 Washington D.C. 8pp.
11. Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2005. Enhancing interdependency analysis with the commodity flow survey, Proceedings of the Transportation Research Board’s Conference on the Commodity Flow Survey, July 2005, Boston, MA.

Invited Talks and Lectures

1. Session Co-chair, Building Internal Risk-Assessment Capabilities, at the Workshop on Assessing Information Security Risk in Turbulent Time, Sponsored by Center for Digital Strategies, Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth, July 2009, Hanover, NH.
2. Crowther, K.G., 2009. Principles for identifying system vulnerabilities in complex automated and adaptive information technology infrastructures. Presented to the Military Operations Research Society's Meeting, Risk-Informed Decision Making for Homeland Security Resource Allocation. April 2009, Arlington, VA.
3. Crowther, K.G., 2009. Theory of Scenario Structuring for Systemic Risk Analysis. Invited lecture given to SRA 311 at Penn State University. March 2009, State College, PA.
4. Crowther, K.G., Y.Y. Haimes, and F. Krimgold, 2007. Systems-based tradeoffs between preparedness and infrastructure resilience through risk management of interdependent systems. Presented to the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Science. September 2007, Yekaterinburg, Russia.
5. Crowther, K.G., 2006. Computational Methods for Nonlinear Programming. Guest lecture to SYS 603 Math Programming on November 16, 2006.
6. Crowther, K.G., 2005. Dantzig-Wolfe and Other Decomposition Methods for Linear and Nonlinear Programming. Guest lecture to SYS 603 Math Programming on November 1, 2005.

Select Conference Presentations

1. Crowther, K.G., 2009. Regional strategic preparedness through resilience and homeland security. Presented to the Risk Symposium, April 2009, Santa Fe, NM..
2. Crowther, K.G., 2008. Harmonizing regional homeland security protection and resilience. Presented to the Annual Meeting of the Society of Risk Analysis, December 2008, Boston, MA.
3. Crowther, K.G., 2008. Scoring of information security as an infrastructure protection strategy. Presented to the Annual Meeting of the Society of Risk Analysis, December 2008, Boston, MA.
4. Crowther, K.G., 2008. Risk-based identity management for flexible emergency response plans. Presented to the 2008 Risk Symposium, February 2008, Santa Fe, New Mexico.
5. Crowther, K.G., 2008. Risk-based identity management for flexible emergency response plans. Presented to the Annual Meeting of the Society of Risk Analysis, December 2007, San Antonio, Texas.
6. Crowther, K.G., Y.Y. Haimes, and F. Krimgold. Systems-based tradeoffs between preparedness and infrastructure resilience through risk management of interdependent systems. Presented at Annual Meeting of the Russian Academy of Science. September 2007, Yekaterinburg, Russia. by invitation.
7. Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2007. Valuating strategic preparedness to manage risks of natural and man-made disasters to Interconnected economic systems. Presented to the 2007 Risk Symposium. Febrary 2007, Santa Fe, New Mexico.
8. Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2006. Valuating strategic preparedness to manage risks of natural and man-made disasters to interconnected economic systems, Presented to the Annual Meeting of the Society of Risk Analysis, Baltimore, MD. December 3-6, 2006.
9. Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2005. Risk of Terrorism to Economic Interregional Interdependencies: An Extension to the Inoperability Input-Output Model (IIM), Presented to the Annual Meeting of the Society of Risk Analysis, Orlando, FL. December 5-7, 2005.
10. Crowther, K.G. and Y.Y. Haimes, 2005. Enhancing interdependency analysis with the commodity flow survey, Presented to the Transportation Research Board’s Conference on the Commodity Flow Survey, July 2005, Boston, MA.

Technical Reports

1. Haimes, Y.Y., J.R. Santos, J.H. Lambert, B.M. Horowitz, K.G. Crowther, B. Caswell, R. Collins, M. Haggerty, and J. McLin, 2007. Virginia Critical Transportation Infrastructure Protection and Resilience. Virginia Transportation Research Council, Charlottesville, VA. VTRC No. 07-CRx.
2. Crowther, K.G., R.Y. Dicdican, M.F. Leung, C. Lian, G.M. Williams, Y.Y. Haimes, J.H. Lambert, B.M. Horowitz, J.R. Santos, 2005. Assessing and Managing Risk of Terrorism to Virginia's Interdependent Transportation Systems. Virginia Transportation Research Council, Charlottesville, VA. VTRC No. 05-CR6.
3. Haimes, Y. Y., B. M. Horowitz, J. H. Lambert, J. R. Santos, K. Crowther, C. Lian, and A. Srinivasan, January 30, 2004. “Applying Inoperability Input-Output Model (IIM) to the Impact of High-Altitude Electromagnetic Pulse (HEMP) on Interdependent Infrastructure Sectors,” Report to the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse Attack, Center for Risk Management of Engineering Systems, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA.

Course Instruction

1. SYS 650, Risk Analysis, Fall 2009.
2. SYS 453, SYS 454, Systems Design, University of Virginia, Fall 2009, Spring 2010.
3. SYS 204, Database System Design and Management, Spring 2009.
4. SYS 650, Risk Analysis, Fall 2008.
5. SYS 453, SYS 454, Systems Design, University of Virginia, Fall 2008, Spring 2009.
6. SYS 204, Database System Design and Management, Spring 2008.
7. SYS 453, SYS 454, Systems Design, University of Virginia, Fall 2007, Spring 2008.
8. SYS 898 Supervised Project Research. University of Virginia, 2007-present, see Ph.D., M.S. students.

Ph.D. Students

1. Whitehead, P., Risk-based regional energy portfolio generation. (expected May 2011)

M.S. Students

1. Revenko, N., yet undecided. (expected May 2011)
2. Collins, R., Development of regional strategic renewable energy portfolio. (expected May 2010)
3. Vedomski, M., Strategic development of critical infrastructure protection and resilience plans. (expected May 2010).
4. Hamilton, M., Valuation and prioritization of critical infrastructure. (expected May 2010).
5. Guo, Z., Risk analysis of information security through modeling of interdependencies in supply chains. (Aug. 2009) continued for PhD at University of Virginia.
6. Strausser, B., Agent-based modeling of business supply chains for strategic cyber security investment. (May 2009, finished with ME) continued for PhD at University of Virginia.
7. Caswell, B. Regional, workforce-based economic modeling framework for strategic pandemic influenza preparedness. (Aug. 2008) employed by Computer Sciences Incorporated.
8. Lee, A. Framework for risk-based decision analysis of contingent supply chains with application to supplying emergency water for Hampton Roads following a hurricane. (May 2008) employed by Lockheed Martin.

Ph.D. Committees

1. Yan, Z., Risk Assessment and Management of Complex Systems with Hierarchical Analysis Methodologies (Aug. 2007).

M.S. Committees

1. Purvis, M., Application of Agent-Based Modeling and Response Surface Analysis to Explore Potential Impacts of Cyber Policy (Aug. 2009).
2. Guan, P., Hierarchical Bayesian Model (HBM) and Coordinate Hierarchical Bayesian Model (CHBM) in Runway Incursion Analysis (Aug. 2008).
3. Gennert, B., Risk Assessment of Critical Infrastructure with Economic Interdependency Analysis and Security Perspectives (Aug. 2007).

B.S. Theses

1. Dyke, C., J. Johnson, N. Revenko. Feasibility analysis of critical infrastructure information sharing in Virginia. (2009)
2. Cahill, B. Modeling a Protective Mask Stockpiling Strategy for Pandemic Influenza in the Commonwealth of Virginia. (2008)
3. Collins, R. Estimating Economic Loss as a Result of Worker Absenteeism in the Event of a Pandemic Flu Outbreak. (2008)
4. Jurko, R. A Mask-Based Infrection Model for Pandemic Influenza. (2008)
5. Zivic, T. Evaluation of the Preparedness for Medical Surge during an Outbreak of the Pandemic Flu in the Commonwealth of Virginia. (2008)
6. Drake, S. Evacuation From Hampton Roads, Virginia: Evaluating Interoperable Communications (2007, co-advisor – Y.Y. Haimes)
7. Favreau, K. Risk-Based Analysis of Hurricanes in Virginia (2007, co-advisor – Y.Y. Haimes)
8. Mangum, N. Measuring Information Management Capabilities and Credentialing in Emergency Response Scenarios (2007, co-advisor – Y.Y. Haimes)
9. McHail, S. An Evaluation of Healthcare Preparedness in the Hampton Roads Region for a Pandemic Flu (2007, co-advisor – Y.Y. Haimes)
10. Oleson, A. Evaluating the Hurricane Preparedness State of Southeastern Virginia Senior Citizens (2007, co-advisor – Y.Y. Haimes)

Distinctions

1. Honorable Mention, Samuel Prince Dissertation Award, International Sociological Association Research Committee on Disasters, 2009
2. My student, Michael Vedomske, won honorable mention from the National Science Foundation Graduate Student Engineering Fellowship program, 2009
3. IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium Best Paper Award for the Risk and Regional Planning Track, 2008.
4. Institute for Information Infrastructure Protection Prodoctoral Research Fellowship, 2007.
5. IEEE Systems and Information Engineering Design Symposium Best Poster Award, 2007.
6. University of Virginia Dept. of System and Information Engineering Graduate Robert T. Ferguson Memorial Award, 2007.
7. University of Virginia Dept. of System and Information Engineering Graduate Fellowship, 2006.
8. University of Virginia Center for Risk Management of Eng. Systems Distinguished Grad. Student Award, 2004.
9. Brigham Young University Office of Research and Creative Studies (ORCA) Scholarship Award, 2001-2002.
10. James River Aquatic Club (JRAC) Scholarship Award, 1996-1997.
11. Eagle Scout.

Community

1. Regional Preparedness Advisory Committee, Virginia Governor’s Office of Commonwealth Preparedness. (2007-present)
2. Executive Committee (public representation), Rivanna Congregation, Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, Charlottesville, VA. (2007-present)
3. Science Fair Judge, Volunteer at high school and regional science fairs. Charlottesville, VA. (2003-present)
4. Merit Badge Counselor, Boy Scouts of America. (2000 – present)
5. Volunteer High School Seminary Teacher, Charlottesville 1st Congregation, Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, Charlottesville, VA. (2004-2006)
6. Institute Council President, Charlottesville LDS Institute, Charlottesville, VA. (2003)
7. Public Representative, Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, Yekaterinburg, Russia. (1997-1999)
8. Languages: Russian

References

[on request]