Recent Publications and Working Papers

Office: Monroe Hall 252

Phone: (434) 924-3402
Web Page: http://www.people.virginia.edu/~jvp3m
E-mail: mailto:jvp3m@virginia.edu

Working Papers

  •  “Partially Identifying the Effect of the Free School Lunch Program on Child Health Using the Monotone Instrumental Variable Assumption,” (with Craig Gunderson and Brent Kreider), May 2009. paper(pdf)
  • “The Impact of Living Wage Ordinances on Urban Crime” (with Jose Fernandez and Thomas Holman), July 2009. paper(pdf)
  • “Identifying the Effects of Food Stamps on the Nutritional Health of Children when Program Participation is Misreported,” (with Craig Gunderson, Dean Jolliffe, and Brent Kreider) March 2008. paper(pdf)
  • "To Train or Not To Train: Optimal Treatment Assignment Rules Under the New Welfare System," Thomas Jefferson Center Discussion Paper. 2002. paper (pdf file)
  • "The Strong Instrumental Variable Assumption," paper (pdf file)
  • "Nonparametric Estimation of Wages and Labor Force Participation," (with Steven Stern), May 2000. paper (pdf file)

Recent and Forthcoming Publications

  •  “Measurement Error in Criminal Justice Data,” (with Carol Petrie and Sean Sullivan) in A. Piquero and D. Weisburd (editors) Handbook of Quantitative Criminology, Springer, forthcoming. paper(pdf)  
  • "Identification of Binary Outcome Distributions with Multiplicative Contamination," (with Brent Kreider), Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, forthcoming paper(pdf)  
  • “More on Monotone Instrumental Variables,” (with Charles Manski), Econometrics Journal, 12, 2009, S300-216  paper(pdf)  
  • “Forecasting Crime: A City Level Analysis” Understanding Crime Trends: Workshop Report, Committee on Law and Justice, National Research Council of the National Academies. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press, 2008, pp. 177-210. paper(pdf)
  •  “The Deer Hunter:  The Unintended Effects of Gaming Regulations,” (with Michael Conlin and Stacy Dickert-Conlin), The Review of Economics and Statistics, 91(1), February 2009, 178-87.. paper(pdf)
  • "Inferring Disability Status From Corrupt Data," (with Brent Kreider), Journal of Applied Econometrics, 23(3), April 2008, 329-49. paper (pdf file)
  • "Disability and Employment: Reevaluating the Evidence in Light of Misreporting Errors," Journal of the American Statistical Association (JASA), 102 (478), June 2007, 432-441 (with Brent Kreider), paper (pdf file)  
  • “The Effect of Alcohol Prohibition on Illicit Drug Related Crimes: An Unintended Consequence of Regulation”, (with Stacy Dickert-Conlin and Mike Conlin), The Journal of Law and Economics, April 2005, 215-234.paper

Edited Volumes and Reports

  • Firearms and Violence: A Critical Review, National Research Council, Committee on Law and Justice and Committee on National Statistics, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education. Washington, D.C., 2004  (with Carol V. Petrie, Charles F. Wellford) Guns
  • Measurement Problems in Criminal Justice Research, National Research Council, Committee on Law and Justice and Committee on National Statistics, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education. Washington, D.C., 2003. (with Carol V. Petrie) Measurement
  • Informing America's Policy on Illegal Drugs: What We Don't Know Keeps Hurting Us, National Research Council, Committee on Data and Research for Policy on Illegal Drugs. National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 2001. (with Charles F. Manski and Carol Petrie) Drugs
  • Assessment of Two Cost-Effectiveness Studies on Cocaine Control Policy, National Research Council, National Academy Press, Washington, D.C., 1999. (editor with Charles F. Manski and Yonette F. Thomas) Drugs
  • Providing National Statistics on Health and Social Welfare Programs in an Era of Change: Summary of a Workshop, National Research Council, CNSTAT, National Academy Press, 1998 (editor with Constance F. Citro and Charles F. Manski) Welfare

updated: 6/09