GFIR 839:   Politics of Foreign Debt and Development

 

Herman Schwartz                                                          248C Cabell Hall / 924 7818 / hms2f@virginia.edu

Tuesday 2:00-4:30          Cabell 242                                                            office hrs:  T/R 11-12, or appt.

 

The course looks at the political economy of development by focusing on four topics:  domestic and transnational political coalitions; development strategies of specific countries; the importance of institutions in carrying out those strategies; the opportunities and constraints imposed by world labor, capital and goods markets.  Along the way I hope to make sense of various orthodox and critical theories of (under-)development.  The cases will not be limited only to the 'traditional' subjects of the development literature, the “third world” but will also consider late development in Europe and elsewhere.  We also will be taking a long-term perspective (what else is new?). The syllabus presumes that you are already familiar with some of the basic late development literature (Frank, Wallerstein, Bukharin, etc) as well as with Karl Polanyi’s Great Transformation.  If you are not, see me.

We will not deal with democratization per se, but interested students can ask for additional readings.  The best single source is Reuschemeyer, Stephens & Stephens, Capitalist Development and Democracy.  David Waldner occasionally teaches a course on this.

 

Requirements:

This class is a discussion oriented research seminar; students will be asked to prepare critiques/explications of various weeks' readings & to write a seminar paper on development issues, not necessarily on one of the countries done here; if some are done on these countries, they will be presented, perhaps in an unfinished state, during the appropriate class, those on "outside" countries will be presented during the last class(es).  Depending on the number of students brief presentations of seminar papers will be done in the last class.  Grading is based on the seminar paper (40%) discussion (40%), and the critiques (20%).

 

You must see me before the mid-semester break to arrange a topic for your paper.  If you don't, your grade will be under-developed.

 

Some good reference works are:

R. Chilcote, Theories of Development and Underdevelopment

T. Momsen, Theories of Imperialism (a good short into to mostly left theories of imperialism)

Paul Bairoch:  Economic Development of the Third World since 1900 and Economics and World History (informed revisionism)

 

For data:

IBRD (World Bank) World debt tables (annual) gives a good sense of the scale and types of debt from the 1970s on, and on line data is available for 1980 on, see below.

Pre-1945 debt statistics are very shaky.  The best are UN, Public Debt of Member Nations, Cleona Lewis, Debtor and Creditor Countries 1938, 1944, and Michael Edelstein, Overseas investment.  Lloyd Reynolds Economic Growth has excellent country bibliographies.

UNCTAD, Commodity Trade Handbook provides detailed country by country data on exports and also, commodity by commodity (but see also www.intracen.org)

UNCTC, World Investment Report (annual, data on DFI plus special reports)

Brian Mitchell, European Historical Statistics, International Historical Statistics: Americas and Asia are where you’ll find best source data for country as far back as it is available; plus of course individual country’s statistical yearbooks (if any).

 

 

The following databases will be available on-line or made available to class via email:

BIS/OECD:  Q:\data\trade on the GFA server or via toolkit for GFCP313 “Debt-Stock.xls” and “Debt-Flow.xls”

INTRACEN (International Trade Center) 6 digit SITC level trade performance data at:  http://www.intracen.org   (and an older excel version of this database is available from Q:\data\trade on the GFA server – 3 digit SITC level)).  This is an excellent country by country detailed analysis of export / imports, including growth rates and relative value added.

Penn World Tables: online at http://pwt.econ.upenn.edu/download/download.html  or via toolkit for 313 as a ZIP file

World Bank:  http://www.worldbank.org/data/  and Development Report http://www.worldbank.org/wdr/2000/fullreport.html  


For Asian economies (including hard to get data on Taiwan) http://internotes.asiandevbank.org/notes/edr0004p/Index.htm    

For the Americas, an interactive data base:  http://database.iadb.org/esdbweb/scripts/esdbweb.exe  (including 2 digit SITC trade data)

Plus via VIRGO (http://fisher.lib.virginia.edu/active_data/index.html ): IMF direction of trade statistics;  UNIDO data, World Bank data; World Resources (environmental data)

 

At the bottom you will find some sector specific suggestions.

 

Readings:

 

Students will find it convenient to own the following books (data indicate proportion of book we will read):

 

1.       Alice Amsden, Asia's Next Giant. Cornell UP 1989, (6 chs)

2.       Gary Gereffi & M. Korzeniewicz, eds, Commodity Chains and Global Capitalism, Praeger, (7 chapters)

3.       Stephan Haggard, Pathways from the Periphery: Politics of Growth.  Ithaca:  Cornell Univ Press 1991  (4 of 8 chs)

4.       Robert Wade, Governing the market (6 / 11)

5.       David Waldner, State Building and Late Development (5 / 10 chs)

 

 

ALL READINGS ARE ON RESERVE

 

IMPORTANT:  If you don’t see a reading listed under GFIR 839, check under GFCP 313 – many readings are listed there instead; please check the toolkit “materials” list for GFCP 313 also; “C313” after a reading indicates it’s on the 313 Clemons reserve and T313 = 313 toolkit materials files; C839 means it’s on the 839 Clemons reserve and 839toolkit = 839 materials toolkit.  JSTOR = available through JSTOR (note that as of 30 Aug Cambridge J of Econ is temporarily  unavailable but it should be up by the time we need it. Infotrac = available through Infotrac. ** indicates a reading that was supposed to be on reserve but which the library hasn’t put up yet.

 

                                                     SYLLABUS

5 Sept:  Introduction 

Syllabi, schmoozing.

 

 

12 Sept:            What is Development?    Joe, Jeannie, Aycan // food:  Hisham

C         Arghiri Emmanuel:  "Myths of development vs. myths of under‑development."  New Left Review # 85, May 1974, pp.  61-82. **

C         Albert Hirschman, "Rise and decline of Development Economics," in Essays in Trespassing  C313

C         F H Cardoso & E Faletto:  Dependency & Development in Latin America (ch 1-2)  C313

C         Paul Krugman, “The Myth of Asia’s Miracle,” Foreign Affairs Nov 1994, 73:6  infotrac

 

recommended:  

check out the UN Development Program,  Human Development Reports (annual)

also quite interesting and important from a development perspective:  Paul Krugman, Development, Geography and Economic Theory

 

19 Sept:  Development, the state, and social classes  Bhavani, Ganesh, Hisham  food:  Aycan

C         Alexander Gerschenkron,"Economic backwardness in historical perspective" (ch 1, pp. 5-30) and "Postscript" (pp 353-364) in Economic Backwardness in Historical Perspective    C313

C         Mel Watkins, "A Staples theory of economic growth," Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science 29:2, May 1963, pp 141-158 **

C         S. Haggard, Pathways from the periphery, ch 1-2  C839

C         Kiren Chaudhry, "Myths of the Market and the Common History of Late Developers," Politics and Society  21:3, Sept 1993, pp. 245-274 **

C         David Waldner, State Building and Late Development ch 1, 2, 7, 8    C313

C         P. Evans, Embedded Autonomy ch 1-4  (cheap and dirty versions:  "Predatory, developmental and other apparatuses:  a comparative political economy perspective on third world states" Sociological Forum 4:4, 1989, pp. 561‑587 or "State Structures, Business-Government Relations and Economic Transformation" ch.3 in Maxfield/Schneider, eds., Business and the State in Developing Countries)    C313

 

 

recommended strongly:

W. Lewis:  "Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour."  The Manchester School Journal, 22:2, May 1954.

L. G. Reynolds "The Spread of Economic Growth to the Third World 1850-1980," Journal of Economic Literature 21, Sept 1983, pp. 941-980  (or:  Reynolds:  Economic Growth in the 3rd World:  An Introduction)

 

Recommended empirical example:  C. Gallo, Taxes and State Power  (140pp)

 

 

Resources on Imperialism:

B. Warren, Imperialism, Pioneer of Capitalism

J. A. Hobson:  Imperialism:  a study

N. Bukharin:  Imperialism and the Accumulation of Capital

Benjamin Cohen, Imperialism in Question

 

26 Sept:  Commodity Chains, Dependence, Tools and Problems  Hisham, Sophie, Naureen

·         Robert Bates, "Government and Markets in Africa," in R. Bates, Towards a Political Economy of Development, pp. 331‑ 358   C 313

·         Paul Rosenstein Rodan, “Problems of industrialization of Eastern and South-Eastern Europe,” The Economic Journal vol. 53 #210-211, June-September 1943, pp. 202-211 JSTOR or 839toolkit

·         Albert Hirschman, “Political Economy of Import Substituting Industrialization in Latin America,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 82:1, February 1968, pp 1-32  JSTOR

·         Gary Gereffi & M. Korzeniewicz, eds., Commodity Chains and Global Capitalism, ch 1, 5, 6  C839

·         Alice Amsden, Asia’s Next Giant  ch 1  C839

 

after you rest the first 4, read:

N. Poulantzas, "Internationalisation of capitalist relations", Economy & Society # 3, 1972

 

 

3 Oct:   19th century European state building and development  Bihn, Anne, Aycan

C         Mikulas Teich and Roy Porter, The Industrial Revolution in National Context  chapters on France, Germany, Sweden, Hungary, USA, Belgium    C313

C         Linda Weiss and John Hobson, States and Economic Development ch 4    C313

C         Amanda Tillotson, "Open States and Open Economies:  Denmark's Contribution to a Statist Theory of Development," Comparative Politics  21:3, April 1989, pp. 339-354 **

C         Peter Bogasen, “Strong or Weak State: Danish Agricultural Export Policy,” Comparative Politics 24:2, January 1992, pp. 219-227  839toolkit

 

 

Resources:

Ivan Berend and Gyorgi Ranki, Economic Development East-Central Europe in the 19th and 20th Centuries

Alexander Gerschenkron, Economic Backwardness in Historical Perspective

David Good, Economic Rise of the Habsburg Empire

W. O. Henderson, Industrialization on the Continent and Britain & Industrial Europe 1750-1870

David Landes, The Unbound Prometheus

Sidney Pollard, Peaceful Conquest: The Industrialization of Europe

Fritz Stern, Gold and Iron:  Bismarck, Bleichroder and the Building of the German Empire

Richard Sylla, ed., Patterns of European Industrialization: the 19th century

 

 

 

10 Oct:  19th century agricultural-led development with portfolio debt  Bhavani, Haiyan

C         Ivan Berend and Gyorgy Ranki, "Foreign Trade and the Industrialization of the European Periphery in the 19th century," Journal of European Economic History 9:3, Winter 1980, pp. 539-584 (or:  idem, Agriculture and the Industrialization of the European Periphery)  **

C         Donald Denoon:  Settler Capitalism:  Dynamics of dependent development in the southern hemisphere.  ch 1-3, 7  C839

C         Arghiri Emmanuel:  "White settler colonialism and the myth of investment imperialism," New Left Review # 73, May 1972, 35-57.  839toolkit

C         H. Schwartz:  "Foreign Creditors and the Politics of Development in Australia and Argentina," International Studies Quarterly 33:3 Sept 90 (click link)

C         Albert Fishlow:  "Lessons from the Past:  capital markets during the 19th century and interwar period," International Organization, 39:3. (Summer, 1985), pp. 383-439.  JSTOR

C         W. A. Lewis, Tropical Development 1880-1914  ch 1 & 2 + a few empirical chapters    C313

 

Recommended:

W A Lewis, Evolution of the International Economy

 

Resources:

M. Edelstein:  Overseas Investment in the Age of High Imperialism ch 3, 5; H. Feis:  Europe:  the World's Banker; B Stallings, Banker to the Third World; Schwartz, States vs Markets, ch 4-6; A. G. Ford, The Gold Standard 1880-1914 (esp sections on inflation); H Peters, Foreign Debt of the Argentine Republic; B. Fitzpatrick, British Empire in Australia; E. Gallo, La Pampa Gringa; C. Waisman:  Reversal of Development in Argentina  ch 1-3; J. Adelman, Frontier Development: Land, Labour and Capital on the Wheatlands of Argentina and Canada, 1890-1914.

 

 

 

17 Oct: 20th century:  Direct investment and industrial-led development  Young-Wan, Jose, Joe

 

C         Jeffry Frieden:  "Third world indebted industrialization:  international finance and state capitalism in Mexico, Brazil, Algeria and South Korea."  International Organization 35:3, Summer 1981. pp. 407-432  JSTOR

C         Robert Wade, Governing the Market ch 5  C839

C         Alice Amsden, Asia's Next Giant  ch 6  C839

C         Stephan Haggard, Pathways From the Periphery, ch 8  C313

C         Edna Bonacich and David Waller, “Mapping a Global Industry,” and “The Role of US Apparel Manufacturers,” in Global Production chs. 2 and 5.   C313

C         Rowthorn and Kozul-Wright, “Spoilt for Choice?  MNCs and the Geography of Production,” Oxford Review of Economic Policy 14:2, 1998 infotrac

 

recommended:   Evie H Stephens "Capitalist Development and Democracy in South America," Politics and Society  17:3, September 1989, pp. 281-352; R Wood, From Marshall Plan to Debt Crisis  (on aid)

 

 

                                 24 OCTOBER IS READING BREAK

 

31 Oct: Brazil 1:  strategy and structure  Jeannie, Bihn

C         Stephan Haggard:  Pathways from the periphery, ch 7  C313

C         Barbara Geddes:  "Building 'State' capacity in Brazil, 1930-1964," Comparative Politics  January 1990, pp. 217-235 **

C         Werner Baer, et al:  "Structural changes in Brazil's Industrial Economy 1960-1980" World Development  15:2, 1987, pp. 275-286. **

C         Stephan Haggard / Lee / Maxfield, Politics of Finance in Developing Countries, ch on Brazil (Armijo)  C839

C         Peter Kingstone, Democratic Brazil  ch tba  C839

 

 

7 Nov:              Brazil 2:  outcomes  Sophie, Haiyan

C         Jeffry Frieden, "Brazil's borrowing experience:  miracle to debacle and back?"  Latin American Research Review 22:1, 1987, pp. 95-131. **

C         Joan Nelson, Economic Crisis and Policy Choice, Robert Kaufman chapter  C839

C         Gary Gereffi, Commodity Chains, ch 11  C839

C         Jeffry Frieden, "Classes, Sectors, and Foreign Debt in Latin America," Comparative Politics 21:1, oct 1988  **

C         David Felix, "Alternative Outcomes of the Latin American Debt Crisis," Latin American Research Review 22:2, 1987, pp 3-46 **

C         Leslie Armijo, “Inflation and Insouciance:  The Peculiar Brazilian Game,” Latin American Research Review 31:3, Summer 1996, pp 7-47 infotrac

 

recommended:  Peter Evans:  Embedded Autonomy  (sections on Bz)

 

Resources:

T. Skidmore:  "Politics of economic stabilization in postwar Latin America," in J. Malloy, Authoritarianism and Corporatism in Latin America;  A. Stepan, ed:  Authoritarian Brazil  (skim! Cardoso & Skidmore chs.); A Stepan, The Military in Politics; T Skidmore: Politics of Military rule in Brazil 1964-85; Emmanual Adler, Power of Ideology. AA Hofman, AStandardised capital stock estimates in Latin America: a 1950-94 update,@ Cambridge J of Economics 24:1 Jan 2000, 45-86. Peter Evan, Dependent Development, Ken Sharpe, Engines of Growth, Gary Gereffi, Pharmaceuticals and the State

          

 

 

14 Nov: Korea (development w/ debt?) and Taiwan (development w/o debt?) Bihn

background:

B. Cumings:  "Political economy of North East Asian..." International Organization, 38:1 (Winter, 1984), pp. 1-40. JSTOR

 

C         Alice Amsden:  Asia's Next Giant, ch 2-5  C839

C         Chih Ming Ka & M. Selden:  "Original Accumulation, equity and late industrialization:  China and Taiwan."  World Development 14:10, 1986, 1293-1310. **

C         Robert Wade, Governing the Market ch 4, 6, 7, 10  C313

C         Stephan Haggard / Lee/ Maxfield:  Politics of Finance  chs on SK and Taiwan  C839

C         David Waldner, State Building and Late Development, ch 6  C313

C         Tun-Jen Cheng, Stephan Haggard and David Kang, “Institutions and growth in Korea and Taiwan: the bureaucracy.” J of Development Studies August 1998 34:6 p87-112  infotrac

 

21 nov:  Korea and Taiwan:  Facing the 1990s  Ray, Young-Wan, Jose

C         Yun-han Chu:  "State Structure and Economic Adjustment in East Asia, " International Organization 43:4, autumn 1989, pp. 647-672 JSTOR

C         Gary Gerrefi, Global Commodity Chains, ch 8, 9, 12, 14 C313

C         Gregory W. Noble “Trojan Horse or Boomerang:  Two-Tiered Investment in the Asian Auto Complex,” BRIE Working Paper 90 November 1996  (only via 839 TOOLKIT)

C         David Kang, “Asia's Next Giant: South Korea and Late Industrialization,” International Organization, 49:3, Summer 1995 pp. 555-587  JSTOR

C         Ha-Joon Chang, etc “Interpreting the Korean Financial Crisis,” Cambridge J of Economics 22, 1998, pp 735-746  JSTOR

C         John Mathews, “Fashioning a New Korean Model out of the Crisis,”  Cambridge J of Economics 22, 1998, pp 747-759  JSTOR

C         Robert Wade, “East Asia's Economic Success:  Conflicting Perspectives, Partial Insights, Shaky Evidence," World Politics 44, January 1992, pp. 270-320 JSTOR

C         OR Robert Wade, “From Miracle to Cronyism,” Cambridge J of Economics 22, 1998, pp 693-706 313toolkit as Wade-Miracle-to-Crony.pdf or JSTOR

 

Recommended:

Robert Wade and Frank Veneroso, “The gathering world slump and the battle over capital controls,” New Left Review Sept-Oct 1998 #231 pp. 13-

 

Resources:

F Deyo, Dependent Development and Industrial Order, Jung En Woo, Race to the Swift, Walter Hatch and Kozo Yamamura, Asia in Japan’s Embrace, Ping Chun Hsiung, Living Rooms as Factories, World Bank, The East Asian Miracle

 

 

 

28 nov: Rebuilding States in the 1990s Ganesh, Anne, Naureen

C         John Williamson, Political Economy of Policy Reform ch 1, 2, 10, 11, 12  C839

C         John Toye, “Fiscal Crisis and Fiscal Reform in Developing Countries,” Cambridge J of Economics 24:1 January 2000,  pp. 21-44 JSTOR

C         Joan Nelson, Economic Crisis and Policy Choice, ch by M. Kahler C839

C         Ben Schneider, “Introduction” Administrative Reform in Latin America   (only via 313 TOOLKIT)

C         Robert Kaufman, “Conclusion” Administrative Reform in Latin America  (only via 839 TOOLKIT)

 

 

5 dec:   Student papers due [and/or, perhaps, Africa or Eastern Europe]

 

NOTE:  no exam for this class

 

 

Resources on Electronics:

Martin Fransman, Technology and economic development, and Machinery and economic development plus articles

Fabio Stephano Erber, "The Development of the 'Electronics Complex' and Government Policies in Brazil," World Development 15:3, March 1985, pp. 293‑310

Raphael Kaplinski, various articles.

Staffan Jacobsson, "Technical Change and Industrial Policy:  The Case of Computer Numerically Controlled Lathes in Argentina, Korea and Taiwan," World Development 13:3, March 1985, pp. 353‑370

 

Resources on Automobiles:

Raphael Kaplinski, Driving force: the global restructuring of technology, labour, and investment in the automobile and components industries

Fred Deyo, Social Reconstruction of the World Automobile Industry