The international newspaper of money management    
August 6, 2007

 

 

Divestment is the wrong answer

It raises costs and false expectation of accomplishment

By Edwin T. Burton

Posted: August 6, 2007, 6:01 AM EST

Politicians have found a new way to lower future retirement benefits for employees covered by public pension funds — divestment. Divestment laws, proposed and enacted in various state legislatures around the country, require public pension funds to divest, meaning sell, all stock holdings in companies that do business in particular countries. The current list of countries includes Sudan, Iran, North Korea and Syria. Stay tuned for updates as this list is sure to grow.

The thinking is that, in each of these countries, there are bad people doing bad things. On this, we can probably all agree. There are definitely some bad people doing some very bad things in Sudan, Iran, North Korea and Syria — no question about it. We can also agree that there are some public companies doing business in these countries and that our public pension funds own stock issued by some of these public companies.

Now here are the areas of disagreement.

What difference does it make whose name is on the stock certificate? How are the bad guys affected by who owns the stock? It seems likely the new owners could care less that the bad guys are bad guys. How does that help?

Who really knows for sure which companies are doing what? A recently released Securities and Exchange Commission website was laughed out of existence because of its ludicrous attempt to identify bad actors by looking for country names in SEC filings. In any event, companies doing business in bad countries might be providing more benefit to the good people in these countries than to the bad people — who knows? What about companies that sell cigarettes to the dictators of North Korea? Maybe we should encourage dictators to smoke.

The divestment movement, if completely successful in forcing public pension funds to divest of companies that the movement doesn’t approve of, will most likely have no effect whatsoever on events transpiring in Sudan, Iran, North Korea, Syria or anywhere else. If there is any impact at all, it will probably aid the bad guys at the expense of the good guys because the ownership of the various companies involved would shift to investors with a less heightened sense of moral outrage at the activities in these countries.

But, what is the effect on our public pension funds?

Well, to begin, a public pension fund that sells the stock of a company doing business in the targeted countries will probably end up owning the company anyway. Why? Most public pension funds have private equity investments and many (a growing many) have hedge fund investments. Virtually all private equity and hedge fund investments do not allow investors to impose restrictions on their investment activity. Unless the public pension fund intends to divest its private equity (the most lucrative investment activity in the last 20 years for public pension funds) and hedge funds (the fastest growing investment area for public pension funds), then you are still going to end up owning the “divested” company anyway. You will just own it in a different part of your fund. The fund will be poorer because shifting the company from your left hand to your right hand will involve transaction costs.

It is instructive that several of the divestment initiatives expressly exclude private equity funds from their divestment regime. This means it is OK to own stocks in targeted countries in your private equity fund but not in your public equity fund. Wow! That should really scare the bad guys!

So, in all likelihood, divestment will simply mean moving an asset from one part of your portfolio to another with no real change of ownership but a reduction in fund assets to pay for the transition.

But what will be the real and lasting impact of the divestment movement? Much time and effort will have to be devoted to figuring out which stocks to sell and which to hold and, of course, this list has to be constantly updated. Companies do spinoffs and acquisitions with dizzying frequency. Therefore an entire industry must be created to analyze what company is doing what in what country. There will be some new millionaires creating these lists, producing companies to feed the demand by public pension funds to know which stocks they are permitted to own (in their public equity portfolios). These new multimillionaires created by this new research industry will be financed by a combination of higher taxes for taxpayers funding the additional contributions required to support the pension funds or, what is more likely, lower pension benefits for the working folks who are members of the public pension funds so affected.

There are no real winners in the divestment movement other than the politicians, perhaps, who might discover that this kind of wrap-yourself-in-the-flag investing will fool some voters. But, the losers for certain will be the public pension plan beneficiaries, the taxpayers who fund them and even, quite possibly, the victims of the terrible things going on in Sudan, Iran, North Korea and Syria.

The divestment movement gives the false impression that something useful is being accomplished that will prove helpful to the victims in Sudan or to retard the strength of the regimes in Iran, North Korea or Syria. But the reality is very different. The evildoers in these countries have absolutely nothing to fear from the divestment movement and potentially much to gain. It dissipates their opponent’s efforts into headline-grabbing activities of no real import. If successful, it places the ownership of companies doing business in their countries into the hands of people likely to be unconcerned by the activities of the perpetrators of evil in these countries. This makes it easier for the bad guys to be bad guys.

Divesting is done at the peril of those it is intended to help, not to mention the negative ramifications for public pension plan stakeholders, the potential interference with federal international relations initiatives and the weakening of the future influence of the U.S. in our ever flattening global economy.

For every complex problem there is a simple, easy to understand, wrong answer — divesting is a prime example.

Edwin T. Burton is a trustee of the Virginia Retirement System, Richmond, and a professor of economics at the University of Virginia, Charlottesville.